Thursday, April 30, 2015

April 30 Premarket Briefing: 10 Things You Should Know



NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- Here are 10 things you should know for Thursday, April 30:
1. -- U.S. stock futures were sagging as investors consider the Federal Reserve's Open Market Committee announcement from Wednesday and await data on unemployment and manufacturing Thursday.
European stocks were volatile after Eurostat figures showed the eurozone has barely escaped its recent deflationary funk.
2. -- The economic calendar in the U.S. on Thursday includes initial jobless claims data at 8:30 a.m., personal income and spending numbers at 8:30 a.m., the employment cost index at 8:30 a.m., Chicago PMI manufacturing data at 9:45 a.m., the Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index at 9:45 a.m., and the Kansas City Fed manufacturing index at 11 a.m.
3. -- U.S. stocks on Wednesday closed lower after a choppy trading day in which investors tried to figure out when the Federal Reservewould raise interest rates.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DIA) dropped 0.41% to 18,035.53. The S&P 500 (SPY) sank 0.37% to 2,106.85. The Nasdaq(QQQ) declined 0.63% to 5,023.64.
4. -- The Fed's Open Market Committee meeting announcement was released Wednesday. The Fed didn't explicitly rule out a June interest rate hike, although prognosticators think such a move would be unlikely.
"The idea of raising rates in June is not officially off the table but it's less likely of a case scenario," said George Rusnak, co-head of global fixed income at Wells Fargo. "The more likely event is probably in September and, if anything, the way that they're cautioning their language right now, September could even potentially get pushed out to December."
5. -- Data on initial jobless claims arrives Thursday at 8:30 a.m. Analysts surveyed by Bloomberg expect a consensus of 288,000 new jobless claims, after 295,000 new unemployment claims were filed last week. The four-week average of continuing unemployment claims was at a 15-year low of 2.309 million for the last report.
Unemployment claims data is an essential economic health measure that might push the Federal Reserve toward holding rates steady (if the number is high) or raising rates more quickly (if the number is low).
6. -- Software-as-a-service company Salesforce.com (CRM - Get Report) is considering takeover offers after a company approached it about being acquired, according to a Bloomberg report. Salesforce.com was worth about $49 billion as of Wednesday's market close, so a buyout would be a big one. Salesforce's main rivals in cloud computing are Microsoft (MSFT)Oracle (ORCL) and SAP (SAP), although Salesforce has more market share than any of them.
Salesforce.com stock rose 11.6% by Wednesday's market close and was up another 2.5% in premarket trading Thursday.

Wednesday, April 29, 2015

Ambarella (Nasdaq: AMBA) Stock's 300% Run Is Not Over

AMBA stockOne of our favorite tech investments is Ambarella Inc. (NasdaqAMBA) stock, which has climbed 46.4% in 2015.
We recommended thistech stock well before 2015. Money Morning's Defense and Tech Specialist Michael Robinson told readers about this profit play in August 2013. Since then,AMBA stock has soared 305%.
Fortunately, AMBAstock's run is not over. In fact, we just received another "Buy" signal for this innovative tech stock

AMBA Stock's Latest Buy Signal

Image result for ambarella incAmbarella is a video compression and processing-technology company. It is best known for developing the technology behind GoPro Inc.'s (Nasdaq: GPRO) wearable cameras.
AMBA is a small-cap stock with a market cap of just $2.3 billion. In the last four earnings reports, AMBA has beaten earnings estimates by an average of 29%. In the upcoming quarter, analysts are expecting earnings-per-share (EPS) growth of 132% and revenue growth of 62.5%.
Operating margin is healthy too, at 25.7%.
But the best number – and recent "Buy" signal – came from Canaccord Genuity. At the end of March the firm maintained its "Buy" rating on the stock and raised their AMBA stock price target to $81.
AMBA closed yesterday at $72.01. Reaching $81 would be a 12.5% gain from yesterday's closing price.
One thing boosting AMBA stock is its partnership with Google Inc. (Nasdaq: GOOGGOOGL).
In November, it announced a partnership that centered on Google's "Helpouts" service app. "Helpouts" will let teachers, counselors, doctors, home repair specialists, personal trainers, and others to offer their paid or free expertise via real-time online video. Google is tapping Ambarella to provide the chips.
"For a small company like Ambarella, hooking up with a heavyweight like Google is incredibly bullish," Robinson said at the time.
But it's not just the partnerships with Google and GoPro that will push AMBA stock higher in 2015 …

5 Stocks Insiders Love Right Now



Image result for insider trading
DELAFIELD, Wis. (Stockpickr) -- Corporate insiders sell their own companies' stock for a number of reasons.
They might need the cash for a big personal purchase such as a new house or yacht, or they might need the cash to fund a charity. Sometimes they sell as part of a planned selling program that they have put in place for diversification purposes, which allows them to sell stock in stages instead of selling all at one price.
Must Read: Warren Buffett's Top 10 Dividend Stocks
Other times they sell because they think their stock is overvalued and the risk/reward is no longer attractive. Some even dump their own stock because they have inside knowledge that a competitor is eating their lunch and stealing market share.
But insiders usually buy their own shares for one reason: They think the stock is a bargain and has tremendous upside.
The key word in that last statement is "think." Just because a corporate insider thinks his or her stock is going to trade higher, that doesn't mean it will play out that way. Insiders can have all the conviction in the world that their stock is a buy, but if the market doesn't agree with them, the stock could end up going nowhere. Also, I say "usually" because sometimes insiders are loaned money by the company to buy their own stock. Those loans are often sweetheart deals and shouldn't be viewed as organic insider buying.
At the end of the day, it's institutional money managers running big mutual funds and hedge funds that drive stock prices, not insiders. That said, many of these savvy stock operators will follow insider buying activity when they agree with the insider that the stock is undervalued and has upside potential. This is why it's so important to always be monitoring insider activity but twice as important to make sure the trend of the stock coincides with the insider buying.
Recently, a number of companies' corporate insiders have bought large amounts of stock. These insiders are finding some value in the market, which warrants a closer look at these stocks.
Must Read: 10 Stocks Billionaire John Paulson Loves


General Electric

One stock that insiders are active in here is General Electric  (GE - Get Report), which operates as an infrastructure and financial services company worldwide. Insiders are buying this stock into decent strength, since shares have trended higher by 13.7% over the last three months.
Image result for General ElectricGeneral Electric has a market cap of $273 billion and an enterprise value of $608 billion. This stock trades at a reasonable valuation, with a forward price-to-earnings of 17.5. Its estimated growth rate for this year is -21.8%, and for next year it's pegged at 20.2%. This is not a cash-rich company, since the total cash position on its balance sheet is $13.5 billion and its total debt is $351.40 billion. This stock currently sports a dividend yield of 3.7%.
A director just bought 20,000 shares, or about $543,000 worth of stock, at $ 27.15 per share. Another director also just bought 20,000 shares, or about $538,000 worth of stock, at $26.93 per share.
From a technical perspective, GE is currently trending above both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, which is bullish. This stock has been consolidating and trending sideways for the last few weeks, with shares moving between $26.55 on the downside and around $27 a share on the upside. This sideways trend is coming after shares of GE recently gapped up sharply higher from $25 to $28.68 a share with heavy upside volume flows.
If you're bullish on GE, then I would look for long-biased trades as long as this stock is trending above that recent low of $26.55 and then once it breaks out above some near-term overhead resistance levels at $27.50 to $28 a share with high volume. Look for a sustained move or close above those levels with volume that registers near or above its three-month average volume of 45.58 million shares. If that breakout triggers soon, then GE will set up to re-test or possibly take out its next major overhead resistance level at its 52-week high of $26.68 a share.
Must Read: Warren Buffett's Top 10 Stock Buys


Image result for Travelers Inc
Travelers
Another stock that insiders are loading up on here is Travelers (TRV - Get Report), which provides a range of commercial and personal property, and casualty insurance products and services to businesses, government units, associations and individuals in the U.S. and internationally. Insiders are buying this stock into modest strength, since shares have moved up by 3.9% over the last six months.
Travelers Companies has a market cap of $33 billion and an enterprise value of $34 billion. This stock trades at a reasonable valuation, with a trailing price-to-earnings of 9.6 and a forward price-to-earnings of 10.9. Its estimated growth rate for this year is -11.1%, and for next year it's pegged at 1.4%. This is not a cash-rich company, since the total cash position on its balance sheet is $4.74 billion and its total debt is $6.35 billion. This stock currently sports a dividend yield of 2%.
A director just bought 2,100 shares, or about $216,000 worth of stock, at $103.06 per share.
From a technical perspective, TRV is currently trending above its 200-day moving average and below its 50-day moving average, which is neutral trendwise. This stock has been uptrending a bit over the last few weeks, with shares moving higher from its low of $100.83 to its recent high of $105.40 a share. During that uptrend, shares of TRV have been making mostly higher lows and higher highs, which is bullish technical price action. That move has now pushed shares of TRV within range of triggering a near-term breakout trade.
If you're in the bull camp on TRV, then I would look for long-biased trades as long as this stock is trending above Tuesday's intraday low of $102.74 or above $102 a share and then once it breaks out above some near-term overhead resistance at $105.40 a share with volume that hits near or above its three-month average action of 2.10 million shares. If that breakout begins soon, then TRV will set up to re-test or possibly take out its next major overhead resistance levels at its 50-day moving average of $106.97 to $109 a share, or even $110 a share.
Must Read: 10 Stocks Carl Icahn Is Buying

Tuesday, April 28, 2015

Fast food chain delivers Chipotle-like comps

Arby's big bet on carnivores appears to be paying off. The fast food chain, well known for its roast beef and other meat offerings, reported same-store sales that outpaced the broader restaurant industry during the first quarter. Arby's Meat Mountain Source: Arby's Arby's Meat Mountain Comparable restaurant sales at the privately held company shot up 9.8 percent during the first quarter from about 1 percent in the year-ago period, according to Arby's. This outpaced the broader industry and is just shy of the 10.4 percent same-store sales surge Chipotle reported during the quarter. Overall industry same-store sales grew 2.8 percent during the quarter, based on weekly sales from more than 20,000 units, making it the best quarter since the recession for the struggling industry, according to TDn2K's Black Box Intelligence. Read MoreThis mega McDonald's bill came to $890 Arby's strong performance marks its 18th consecutive quarter of same-store sales growth. Transactions grew 3.7 percent during the period. "It is a combination of several things," said CEO Paul Brown in a phone interview. "First, our marketing campaign is doing a much more effective job of letting people know what Arby's has." Read MoreAs consumers make a comeback, investors chow down Beginning in August, Arby's began heavily emphasizing the wide range of meats for sale—from smoked brisket to angus steak to pepper bacon and more. Its Kings Hawaiian Fish Deluxe and Turkey Rachel limited-time offerings also both helped drive sales. Arby's big bet on carnivores appears to be paying off. The fast food chain, well known for its roast beef and other meat offerings, reported same-store sales that outpaced the broader restaurant industry during the first quarter. Arby's Meat Mountain Source: Arby's Arby's Meat Mountain Comparable restaurant sales at the privately held company shot up 9.8 percent during the first quarter from about 1 percent in the year-ago period, according to Arby's. This outpaced the broader industry and is just shy of the 10.4 percent same-store sales surge Chipotle reported during the quarter. Overall industry same-store sales grew 2.8 percent during the quarter, based on weekly sales from more than 20,000 units, making it the best quarter since the recession for the struggling industry, according to TDn2K's Black Box Intelligence. Read MoreThis mega McDonald's bill came to $890 Arby's strong performance marks its 18th consecutive quarter of same-store sales growth. Transactions grew 3.7 percent during the period. "It is a combination of several things," said CEO Paul Brown in a phone interview. "First, our marketing campaign is doing a much more effective job of letting people know what Arby's has." Read MoreAs consumers make a comeback, investors chow down Beginning in August, Arby's began heavily emphasizing the wide range of meats for sale—from smoked brisket to angus steak to pepper bacon and more. Its Kings Hawaiian Fish Deluxe and Turkey Rachel limited-time offerings also both helped drive sales. The company operates more than 3,300 restaurants worldwide. In July 2011, Wendy's, then known as Wendy's/Arby's, completed the sale of Arby's to Roark Capital Group. Arby's comps had been underperforming for several fiscal years before that. Its heavy emphasis on meat has affected margins. "We, like others, have seen cost of beef impact us, and it has had a little bit of negative impact on margins," Brown said, adding the company-owned stores have increased prices less than 2 percent despite a jump in beef prices. Some relief could be on the way by late next year, Brown said. "What we're hearing in (the) marketplace is a common belief that beef prices have peaked, and we are at if not past the peak," he said.

Katie Little

Source : http://www.cnbc.com/id/102627368

Monday, April 27, 2015

3 Big Cable Companies to Add to Your Portfolio, Including Time Warner and Comcast

NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- Cable companies earn revenues from cable TV subscriptions and broadband subscriptions. It is broadband services that are the drivers of value for the cable companies as more Americans flock to the Internet sites like Netflix (NFLX) andAmazon (AMZN).
Comcast  (CMCSA - Get Report) and Time Warner (TWC - Get Report) dominate the broadband subscription market at 39% and 22% market shares, respectively. Comcast has 22 million broadband subscribers and Time Warner has 12.3 million. They've also dominated headlines this week due to the Federal Communication Commission and the Department of Justice nixing their proposed merger.
With that landscape-changing deal off the table, which are the best companies to buy in the space? Well, as it turns out, Comcast and Time Warner are still on the list. Here are the top three, according to TheStreet Ratings,TheStreet's proprietary ratings tool.
TheStreet Ratings projects a stock's total return potential over a 12-month period including both price appreciation and dividends. Based on 32 major data points,TheStreet Ratings uses a quantitative approach to rating over 4,300 stocks to predict return potential for the next year. The model is both objective, using elements such as volatility of past operating revenues, financial strength, and company cash flows, and subjective, including expected equities market returns, future interest rates, implied industry outlook and forecasted company earnings.
Buying an S&P 500 stock that TheStreet Ratings rated a "buy" yielded a 16.56% return in 2014 beating the S&P 500 Total Return Index by 304 basis points. Buying a Russell 2000 stock that TheStreet Ratings rated a "buy" yielded a 9.5% return in 2014, beating the Russell 2000 index, including dividends reinvested, by 460 basis points last year.
Check out which three large-cap cable companies made the list. And when you're done be sure to read about which telecom stocks to buy now. Year-to-date returns are based on April 24, 2015 closing prices. The highest-rated stock appears last -- read more to see which one is No. 1. SIRI Chart    SIRI data byYCharts
3. Sirius XM Holdings Inc. (SIRI - Get Report) 
Rating: Buy, B
Market Cap: $21.9 billion
Year-to-date return: 13.4%



Image result for Sirius XM Holdings IncSirius XM Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides satellite radio services in the United States.
"We rate SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) a BUY. This is driven by a few notable strengths, which we believe should have a greater impact than any weaknesses, and should give investors a better performance opportunity than most stocks we cover. The company's strengths can be seen in multiple areas, such as its revenue growth, notable return on equity, impressive record of earnings per share growth, compelling growth in net income and expanding profit margins. We feel these strengths outweigh the fact that the company has had generally high debt management risk by most measures that we evaluated."
Highlights from the analysis by TheStreet Ratings Team goes as follows:
  • SIRI's revenue growth has slightly outpaced the industry average of 7.3%. Since the same quarter one year prior, revenues slightly increased by 9.1%. This growth in revenue appears to have trickled down to the company's bottom line, improving the earnings per share.
  • SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC reported significant earnings per share improvement in the most recent quarter compared to the same quarter a year ago. The company has demonstrated a pattern of positive earnings per share growth over the past year. We feel that this trend should continue. During the past fiscal year, SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC increased its bottom line by earning $0.09 versus $0.06 in the prior year. This year, the market expects an improvement in earnings ($0.12 versus $0.09).
  • The net income growth from the same quarter one year ago has significantly exceeded that of the S&P 500 and the Media industry. The net income increased by 119.5% when compared to the same quarter one year prior, rising from $65.20 million to $143.12 million.
  • The company's current return on equity greatly increased when compared to its ROE from the same quarter one year prior. This is a signal of significant strength within the corporation. Compared to other companies in the Media industry and the overall market, SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC's return on equity significantly exceeds that of both the industry average and the S&P 500.
  • The gross profit margin for SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC is rather high; currently it is at 61.40%. It has increased from the same quarter the previous year. Regardless of the strong results of the gross profit margin, the net profit margin of 13.11% trails the industry average.
Must Read:  3 Big Tech Companies to Add to Your Portfolio Right Now

TWC Chart    
TWC data by YCharts
2. Time Warner Cable Inc. (TWC - Get Report) 
Rating: Buy, B+
Market Cap: $43.6 billion
Year-to-date return: 2.1%


Image result for Time Warner Cable Inc.
Time Warner Cable Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides video, high-speed data, and voice services in the United States. It operates in three segments: Residential Services, Business Services, and Other Operations.
"We rate TIME WARNER CABLE INC (TWC) a BUY. This is driven by a few notable strengths, which we believe should have a greater impact than any weaknesses, and should give investors a better performance opportunity than most stocks we cover. The company's strengths can be seen in multiple areas, such as its revenue growth, growth in earnings per share, solid stock price performance, good cash flow from operations and expanding profit margins. We feel these strengths outweigh the fact that the company has had generally high debt management risk by most measures that we evaluated."
Highlights from the analysis by TheStreet Ratings Team goes as follows:
  • Despite its growing revenue, the company underperformed as compared with the industry average of 7.3%. Since the same quarter one year prior, revenues slightly increased by 3.8%. This growth in revenue appears to have trickled down to the company's bottom line, improving the earnings per share.
  • TIME WARNER CABLE INC's earnings per share improvement from the most recent quarter was slightly positive. The company has demonstrated a pattern of positive earnings per share growth over the past two years. We feel that this trend should continue. During the past fiscal year, TIME WARNER CABLE INC increased its bottom line by earning $7.17 versus $6.71 in the prior year. This year, the market expects an improvement in earnings ($8.06 versus $7.17).
  • The stock has risen over the past year as investors have generally rewarded the company for its earnings growth and other positive factors like the ones we have cited in this report. The stock's price rise over the last year has driven it to a level which is somewhat expensive compared to the rest of its industry. We feel, however, that other strengths this company displays justify these higher price levels.
  • Net operating cash flow has increased to $1,810.00 million or 13.19% when compared to the same quarter last year. Despite an increase in cash flow, TIME WARNER CABLE INC's cash flow growth rate is still lower than the industry average growth rate of 47.79%.
  • 36.96% is the gross profit margin for TIME WARNER CABLE INC which we consider to be strong. Despite the high profit margin, it has decreased significantly from the same period last year. Despite the mixed results of the gross profit margin, the net profit margin of 9.56% trails the industry average.
Must Read:  3 Large-Cap Pharmaceutical Companies to Invest in Right Now