Saturday, May 17, 2014

The Weekly IPO Pricing Recap: technology IPOs find their footing


Zendesk ( ZEN ), which provides a SaaS platform that consolidates customer interactions, popped 49% yesterday after pricing at the midpoint. Yet investors who view Zendesk as a turning point for tech IPOs should recall the pattern of strong first-day performance followed by poor aftermarket trading among its peers. In addition, the stock received a boost as the company disclosed that insiders would purchase one fourth of the deal on the day of its IPO. However, Zendesk's further 14% gain today (up 69% from its IPO) signals that tech valuations may have stabilized. Until now, enterprise software IPOs in the pipeline have been sitting on the sidelines, as companies like Box ( BOX ), Imprivata ( IMPR ) and TubeMogul ( TUBE ) delay their IPOs by over double the required 21 day period from the initial filing.
 The week's other US-based tech IPO was TrueCar ( TRUE ), whose website guarantees consumers one low price on a new car before they head to the dealer. After slashing its IPO price 31% from the midpoint, the company gained 12% today. TrueCar's stock still trades below the original range, an indication that IPO investors are now in the driver's seat when it comes to pricing.
 

Jumei International Holding (JMEI) is the latest of seven Chinese IPOs in 2014, and the first to price above its original range. After selling 17% more shares than it planned, the company managed to raise $245 million in its IPO, in addition to a $150 equity investment from General Atlantic in a concurrent private placement. Jumei's initial public offering is the first of three large Chinese e-commerce IPOs, which will continue with JD.com (JD, pricing next week) and culminate with Alibaba (ALIBA.RC, IPO likely within the next few months). 

Two small regional banks also went public this week. The banking industry's five IPOs this year have produced unremarkable returns, averaging -2% from the IPO price. Like Zendesk, Bankwell Financial added insider buying before its IPO, yet it priced below the range and traded flat on Thursday and Friday. 
IPO pricings (week of May 12, 2014)
Company (Ticker)                             Business                                                                                 Deal Size ($mm)IPO Price vs. MidpointReturn as of 5/16
Zendesk ( ZEN )Customer service SaaS platform$1000%69%
TrueCar ( TRUE ) Website that locks in low new car prices $70 -31% 12%
Jumei International Holding (JMEI)Online beauty products retailer in China$2457%10%
Bankwell Financial Group (BWFG)Commercial bank in Connecticut$49-20%0%
ServisFirst Bancshares (SFBS)Commercial bank in the Southeast US$57-1%-9%

IPO market snapshot 
So far this year, 109 IPOs have raised $20.5 billion and produced an average first day return of 15%. The Renaissance IPO ETF (symbol: IPO ), a cap-weighted basket of newly public companies and indicator of post-IPO performance, has fallen 5.4% compared with +1.5% for the S&P 500. Over the last 30 days, the IPO ETF has fallen 3% compared with +1% for the S&P 500, as the IPO market continued its valuation correction into May. The active IPO pipeline now includes 117 companies looking to raise a total of $48.5 billion, including Alibaba's (ALIBA.RC) expected $20 billion IPO.
By 

Source: http://www.nasdaq.com/article/the-weekly-ipo-pricing-recap-technology-ipos-find-their-footing-cm354015

Thursday, May 8, 2014

Play Historic IPO for the Chance at Double-Digit Gains With Less Risk

A credit spread strategy known as a bull put spread offers traders all the benefits of put sellingwhile taking on less risk.
To initiate a bull put spread, the trader sells a put option and simultaneously purchases another put option on the same underlying asset with the same expiration date but a lower strike price. A net credit is collected, and while you generate less income than you would by selling a put alone, the purchased put acts as insurance against big losses.
Today, I want to look at a specific bull put spread trade in Yahoo (NASDAQ: YHOO).
Because we may be obligated to buy shares of the underlying stock or ETF with this strategy, it is important that we are quite willing to own the shares at the strike price of the put being sold. Therefore, I'll take a moment to discuss why I am bullish on YHOO.
Yahoo owns a 23% stake in Chinese e-commerce company Alibaba, which filed for an initial public offering late Tuesday that could turn out to be one of the biggest in history. Alibaba handles more online transactions than Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN) and eBay (NASDAQ: EBAY) combined, and will no doubt represent a threat to these rivals in the U.S.
Alibaba owns Alipay, which is similar to eBay's PayPal and is popular among and trusted by Chinese consumers. It also owns part of Chinese mobile search company UCWeb, and the two companies just announced a joint venture to challenge Baidu (NASDAQ: BIDU) in China's $2.5 billion mobile search market.
Alibaba earned $2.9 billion in the first nine months of its last fiscal year, ending in March. That was more than the combined income of eBay and Amazon for the same period.
I want to take advantage of the Alibaba IPO with a strategy that will allow us to potentially buy shares of YHOO at a discount. 
As you can see in the chart below, the low of the past six months was slightly below $33 per share. YHOO is currently trading near $34, and I would be comfortable owning shares below $30, about 12% below recent prices.
YHOO Stock Chart
As I mentioned above, we'll be initiating a bull put spread in which we will be net option sellers, generating a net credit on the transaction while defining our risk upfront.
Recommended Trade Setup:
-- Sell to Open (STO) YHOO July 30 Put
-- Buy to Open (BTO) YHOO July 27 Put
-- Net Credit: $0.55 or better Good 'Til Canceled (GTC)
If YHOO is below $30 when the puts expire on July 18, we will be obligated to buy 100 shares per contract at $30 per share. But because we received $0.55 per share in advance as premium from the credit spread, the net cost per share will be $29.45 (not including commissions). 
But here is the kicker: We cannot lose more than $2.45 per share ($245 per contract) on this trade no matter what happens. That's because, with a bull put spread, the maximum loss is the difference between the two strike prices minus the net credit. 
If YHOO is between $30 and $27 at expiration, we would be in the same position as if we had just sold a put, and we will take ownership of shares at a net cost of $29.45. However, if YHOO falls below $27, the gains from the long put would offset the losses in our assigned position.
If you only sold a naked July $30 put on YHOO, you would receive more premium, about $0.81 as I write this, but you would take on more risk. You would incur a loss at any price below your breakeven, $29.19 per share ($30 strike minus $0.81 in premium) in this example. So, with the suggested bull put spread above, you are "sacrificing" just $0.26 per share ($26 per contract) in income, but you lower your risk substantially. 
If YHOO stays above the $30 short put strike price on expiry, both options will expire worthless, leaving us with the $55 in premium, which represents a 22% return on our risk capital of $245 in 72 days.
  By Erik Epp
If you have questions or comments about trading credit spreads, please send them toeditors@profitbletrading.com.